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2019 election not credible, says EU

Olugbenga ADANIKIN
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2019 election not credible, says EU

THE European Union Election Observation Mission on Saturday says the 2019 election is marred with irregularities, thus lack credibility and not transparent.

The EU, in its final report on the 2019 general election also blamed the electoral umpire – Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) for its operational shortcomings, political parties for not controlling their supporters as well as security operatives for poor violence prevention during the poll.

“Overall, the EU EOM concluded the 2019 elections were marked by severe operational and transparency shortcomings, electoral security problems and low turnout. Positively, however, the elections were competitive, parties were able to campaign and civil society enhanced accountability,” the report says.

The observers further blamed the security officials in selected locations for maltreating both the electorate and electoral officials.


The report, read by the Head of Mission, Maria Arena at a press conference held in Abuja, however, suggested 30 recommendations the Federal Government could consider to better future elections and develop the nation’s electoral processes.

Speaking on the proposed national dialogue on electoral process by the INEC, the mission, however, supported the move, saying “such reform needs political leadership that is dedicated to the rights of Nigerian citizens, and an inclusive process of national dialogue involving state institutions, parties, civil society and the media.”

“This needs to be urgently undertaken to allow time for debate, legislative changes and implementation well in advance of the next elections,” she added.

Emphasising on other loopholes in the election, the EU Chief Observer, noted that the listed deficiencies including violence, intimidations and poor voters awareness marred integrity of the election.

It reads: “However, considerable weaknesses remained. Operational deficiencies led to the postponement of the elections, there were insufficient checks and transparency in the results process, as well as a general lack of public communication and information.

“The elections became increasingly marred by violence and intimidation, with the role of the security agencies becoming more contentious as the process progressed.

“The EU EOM reported that this damaged the integrity of the electoral process and may deter future participation. During collation of the federal results, EU observers directly witnessed or received reports of intimidation of NEC officials in 20 states.

“While the legal framework broadly provides for democratic elections and some improvements were made to the Constitution, various legal shortcomings remained, including in relation to the use of smart card readers.

“The EU EOM also noted the suspension of the chief justice by the president a few weeks before the elections, which it said was seen to lack due process and reportedly undermined judicial independence.

“Other issues highlighted in the report include: conflicting and late rulings on electoral disputes that undermined opportunity for remedy and created uncertainty; the dysfunctional regulation of political finance; very few electoral offences resulting in arrest or prosecution; problems With the collection of permanent voter cards; and the further fall in the number of women elected.”

Some of the recommendations, however, include: “Strengthen INEC procedures for the collation of results to improve integrity and confidence in electoral outcomes. Establish requirements in law for full results transparency, with data easily accessible to the public.

“Considerably strengthen lNEC’s organizational and operational capacity, as well as its internal communication.

“The inter-agency body responsible for electoral security should work more transparently and inclusively, with regular consultations with political parties and civil society. Introduce a legal requirement for political parties to have a minimum representation of women among candidates.

“The Electoral tribunals should also cover pre-election cases in order to improve access to remedy and to avoid petitions being taken to different courts at the same time.

“Reform the licensing system for the broadcast media to provide for media pluralism and diversity all of Nigeria’s states.”

Notable Nigerians had previously described the election as such that lacked credibility and marred with violence and other irregularities

The ICIR also reported, based on incidents during the poll, why the 2019 election may have lacked credibility.

The mission arrived Nigeria in January and  observed both Presidential and National Assembly elections held on 23 February, the governorship and State House of Assembly elections on 9 March including the supplementary governorship elections held on 23rd March.

TETFUND: Public varsities get N208bn in 2019 budget

Olugbenga ADANIKIN
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TETFUND: Public varsities get N208bn in 2019 budget

PRESIDENT Muhammadu Buhari on Saturday says tertiary institutions across the country will get N208 billion as intervention fund under the Tertiary Education Trust Fund (TETFUND) projects in 2019.

Buhari revealed this at the 23rd convocation of the University of Abuja where a total of 4,946 students graduated from the institution with 24 First Class Honours.

“The present administration will continue to improve on the infrastructural facilities in the universities, promote teacher development and curriculum review.

“It is in furtherance of this that I recently approved the disbursement of N208billion to public tertiary institutions under the 2019 intervention of the TETFUND.”

The president, represented by Mr Sonny Echono, the permanent secretary, Federal Ministry of Education, the current administration would continue to provide funding to fix challenges in the public institutions.

“There is no doubt that Nigeria will be a global player in the emerging knowledge economy. What is required is to ensure the quality of our human capital and also maintain the desirable balance for sustainable national socio-economic growth and development.

“The government will continue to look into the issues raised by the universities especially regarding physical development and will equally monitor the universities closely. I also seize this opportunity to reiterate the commitment of the Federal Government to addressing youth unemployment.”

In the budget, N3 billion was earmarked for the provision of security infrastructure in 104 Colleges and another N4.64 billion for various scholarship allowances. This is from N58.69 billion approved capital expenditure for the year.

Despite these promises, stakeholders in the education sector had repeatedly decried the poor state of varsity infrastructures nationwide.

These incidentally led to various strike actions from the labour unions at varsities, polytechnics among others.

However, the president has pledged to reduce youth employment drastically through improved educational system.

Slovakia gets first woman president Caputova

Olugbenga ADANIKIN
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Slovakia gets first woman president Caputova

ANTI-CORRUPTION campaigner Zuzana Caputova was sworn in as Slovakia’s first female president on Saturday, vowing to fight impunity and champion justice in a country shaken by a journalist’s murder last year.

The community activist, who ran on the slogan “Stand up to evil,” was largely unknown before she launched her presidential bid in the eurozone member of 5.4 million people.

The 45-year-old lawyer won the March ballot with 58 percent of the vote, thanks in part to voter disillusionment with the governing coalition a year after the murder of an investigative journalist plunged the country into crisis.

“I did not come to rule, I came to serve citizens, and residents of Slovakia,” the liberal politician, who is pro-choice and promotes greater rights for same-sex couples, said in her inaugural speech in Bratislava.

“I offer expertise, I offer emotion and I offer a healthy activist approach. So I offer my mind, my heart and my hands,” she added alongside family, former presidents, politicians and members of her presidential campaign.

After the ceremony, Caputova walked to a nearby cathedral for an ecumenical service, shaking hands with people along the way, before hosting a lunch for seniors from across Slovakia.

Analysts called her inaugural speech surprisingly mild, given her past criticism of the government.

“The new president’s speech was non-confrontational. It was formulated positively, not attacking political opponents,” political analyst Juraj Marusiak told AFP.

Caputova “does not want to divide, she wants to unite. She talks about the common good, a common path, often using the word ‘we’.”

Caputova was among the tens of thousands of protesters who took to the streets after journalist Jan Kuciak and his fiancee were gunned down at home in February 2018.

Kuciak was about to publish a report on alleged ties between Slovak politicians and the Italian mafia.

The premier at the time, Robert Fico, was forced to resign but he remains the leader of the ruling Smer-SD party and is a close ally of current Prime Minister Peter Pellegrini.

In her speech, Caputova declared unequivocal support for Slovakia’s membership in the EU and NATO and also spoke out in favour of protecting the environment.

“The process of global climate change must be slowed down and reversed, otherwise it can have major consequences,” she said.

ICPC to prosecute NBET Boss, Marilyn Amobi, others for alleged procurement fraud

Editorial
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ICPC to prosecute NBET Boss, Marilyn Amobi, others for alleged procurement fraud

THE Independent Corrupt Practices Commission (ICPC) is set to prosecute the Managing Director Nigerian Bulk Electricity Trading Company Limited (NBET), Marilyn Amobi, and others for violation of the procurement act.

The commission said Mrs Amobi, like others indicted persons, violated the country’s procurement Act, 2007 and ICPC Act, 2000.

The decision to prosecute the ‘indicted’ was contained in a report sent by ICPC to the Vice President, Yemi Osinbajo, in March.

The Deputy Chief of Staff was copied in the letter signed by ICPC Chairman, Bolaji Owosanye.

Allegations of infractions against Mrs Amobi and the management team of NBET was published by Leaks NG, a coalition of Nigerian newsrooms and civil society groups in February.

ICPC’s investigation

In the letter to the Vice President, ICPC notes that the Mrs Amobi was found guilty in at least five of the many allegations levelled against her.

The commission relied on a petition it received for the investigation.

Allegations made in the petition include; disregard for procurement laws, illegal funding of foreign trip for federal lawmakers, six years payment for office furniture for a four-year tenure and side-lining of due process in purchase of Mrs Amobi’s vehicles.

Other allegations include that Mrs Amobi funds NBET’s expenditure without appropriation from National Assembly, authorises withdrawal from Central Bank to fund unnecessary training, sanctioned transfer of staff illegally and stopped payment of salaries to two management staff.

The commission cleared Mrs Amobi of wrong doing in purchase of vehicles, exependiture on new office space, training of staff and posting of staff from Office of Accountant-General of the Federation.

On illegal payment to DISCOs, the commission report noted that ‘all the 11 Distributions Companies (DISCOS) have unpaid invoices because of certain like unprofitable tariff, non-metering and subsisting court order.’

However, ICPC maintained that the MD faltered in areas of procurement and fund approvals.

“The Respondent (MD) does not follow due process in award of contracts.

“The Respondent (MD) makes payments before securing the required approvals.

“The Respondent (MD) received excess furniture allowances of N22, 646, 328.48 above the approved N5,777,595.00 for CEOs of Federal Ministries, Departments and Agencies,” the report seen by Leaks NG reads.

The report also indicated two management staff of NBET, Waziri Bintube and Abdullahi Sambo were ‘wrongfully dismissed.’

ICPC said the matter (dismissal) has been referred to the Office of the Secretary to the Government of the Federation.

The duo is believed to be victimised by Mrs Amobi for whistle-blowing fraudulent activities in NBET.

They were vindicated by the commission.

“However, the contract award red-flagged by Sambo Abdullahi to two different law firms within the same lot was in violation of procurement process,” a part of the report reads.

Next move

For these infractions, ICPC resolved it would prosecute all indicted and carry out a review of payment to affected DISCOs.

“In the light of the foregoing, the commission would carry out the following;

“Prosecution of all indicted persons, as revealed in the investigation report, for the violation of Procurement Act, 2007 and ICPC Act, 2000.

“A comprehensive review of the operations of all the 11 Discos so as to come up with the necessary recommendations that can enhance better performance and adequate remittance to the Federal Government and make necessary input into the power policy as directed by Mr President.”

ICPC Spokesperson, Rashidat Okoduwa said the commission will make it public once it charges those indicted to court.

“Once that happens (the indicted are prosecuted), definitely we will come to the public with the information,” She said. “You know, taking something to court, you have to be sure you have all your facts, all loose-ends are tied up. You don’t want to take a case to court and still have some technical grounds. Once we got to court, you can be rest assured that we’ll come to public with the information.”

 

FLASHBACK: Six top INEC officials who confirmed planned use of ‘central server’

'Kunle ADEBAJO
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FLASHBACK: Six top INEC officials who confirmed planned use of ‘central server’

RESPONDING to an application by the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) to inspect its server used for the 2019 general election, the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) said on Thursday that it does not have such a thing.

“They are asking us to bring something we do not have,” Yunus Usman, INEC’s lawyer, said.

Lawyers representing President Muhammadu Buhari and the All Progressives Congress at the Presidential Electoral Tribunal also asked that the application be dismissed for failing to establish that a server exists.

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This development has led to a fierce debate among supporters of Nigeria’s two major political parties, and moreso because available record has cast doubt on INEC’s claim.

In a fact-check, The ICIR already established that over N2 billion was approved for the electoral commission towards the procurement and upgrade of various servers. And the money was not only released, but fully utilised.

Asides this, there is also video evidence showing that the upgraded Smart Card Readers used during the election are capable of transmitting results to a central server monitored by INEC; and there are reports from ad-hoc officials indicating that they actually did transmit such information.

The operational procedure given to those officials states that there should be an “electronic movement of election results from the Polling Unit (PU) using the Smart Card Reader (SCR) to a centralised database system where the collation of such result is done”.

In this report, we take a look at the statements of some of INEC’s top officials pointing to the fact that the commission had always planned to make use of a central server in 2019 and has used such servers in past elections.

Mike Igini

Said to be “one of the most experienced electoral officers”, Igini was INEC’s Resident Electoral Commissioner in Bayelsa State during the election. On February 17, he was interviewed on Sunday Politics, days after the commission postponed the presidential and National Assembly elections by a week.

On the show, he confirmed that INEC planned to make use of electronic collation officers and a central server to ensure fairness in the collation process and “bring about transparency, openness to issues about the results declared at the polling unit being at variance at the world collation centre”.

“What we are going to do on Saturday in each of the polling units, and we have trained people for that, is that unlike before when you have only one collation officer we are now having two collation officers at the ward level,” he said.

Igini added: “And this is how they are going to go about it: First, the presiding officer will have to input the result into the card reader and will send it straight away to the central server… We have what they call the e-collation officer and the manual collation officer because we are still doing the manual collation process as required under section 73 of the Electoral Act that talks about step-by-step recording.

“What happens is that after I have sent that data as the presiding officer, the cameraman and yourself, you are the two collation officers, before I get to you, without any form of communication, we have granted you access to our central server. You will see what I have transmitted without talking to me.

“Therefore, it is not expected that on my way to the World Collation Centre I will do anything funny with the form EC8A because we now have evidence trail–the fact that I am aware that at the polling unit, the same result is there, the duplicate has been given to the party agent, I have transmitted to the central server, without talking to me, both of you have seen that result.

“By the time I get to the World Collation Centre … the e-collation officer will have to confirm whether what is on the result sheet is the same thing I have transmitted.”

Igini had given similar assurances in November during a press conference at the INEC headquarters in Akwa Ibom. According to him, the commission “developed a platform in which once the results at polling units are announced, the same results would be transmitted straight to our central server.”

Soyebi Adedeji Solomon

Two-time national commissioner, Soyebi, is described on INEC’s website as one who “is no stranger at all to elections and the electoral process”. “As a great team player with a wide knowledge of electoral matters, he was appointed Acting Chairman of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) following the expiration of the tenure of the then Chairman, Professor Maurice Maduakolam Iwu,” it said.

Before this appointment, he served as the national commissioner in charge of electoral operations; and in 2019 he acted as the chairman of INEC’s Board of Electoral Insititute, the agency’s training arm, and supervised the Information and Voter Education Committee.

Speaking on Channels Television in February 2018, Adedeji also confirmed that INEC intended to make use of a central server to store electoral results.

“What we are trying to do is that come 2019 every result at a polling unit will be scanned at that particular polling unit—a full scan, just an exact replica of what is there; and it goes into a central server. And this is stored. We are going to rely on this for 2019,” he said.

“We’ve started piloting,” he added. “We did it in Sokoto. We did it in Anambra, although it was not the determinant of the result. We used that to compare. We have been testing some of these transmissions. But then we are going to make sure that come 2019, we are going to make sure that these scanned results are fully operational, or they are determinant of results.”

Asked if this plan is dependent on President Buhari’s signing of the bill to amend the Electoral Act, he replied in the negative.

“No, we have a right to do it,” he said. “We are not aware. As I told you, the amendment was signed in 2015, but it was not even made public until 2016.”

He gave assurance that it would be impossible to hack the server, explaining that the Smart Card Readers would be enhanced to function as a scanner.

Olusegun Agbaje

INEC’s Resident Electoral Commissioner in Osun State, Agbaje, confirmed on Politics Today, a show on Channels Television, that results will be sent to INEC’s headquarters in Abuja using the card readers.

“Right from the Polling Unit, when you finish the polling, and then they do the calculation, that is after the sorting and counting of the ballot, everything is going to be put inside the Smart Card Reader and this we will also transmit to the central server,” he said.

Asked if the card reader will be used for the transmission, he said yes at the Polling Unit, “but by the time we get to the collation centre we have technical officers who are also going to deploy their gadgets to be able to transmit it to Abuja headquarters.”

Chidi Nwafor

Nwafor, the electoral commission’s Director of Information and Communication Technology (ICT), said in March 2017, at an event chaired by INEC chairman Mahmud Yakubu, that the commission would make use of electronic collation and transmission as a way of preventing malpractices.

“Observations have shown that most election malpractices that take place do not take place at polling units,” he said. ‘The challenge has been after the poll – between the polling units and the collation centres and at the collation centre.

“INEC has therefore decided to securely transmit results from all polling units to a central database such that only viewing access is allowed at the wards and local government levels – which ultimately eliminates manual collation processes.”

“INEC is preparing for the 2019 elections and is further deploying technology to improve its service delivery and make its processes less prone to manipulations,” he had added.

He explained that the electronic collation system involves the entering of results from polling units into an e-collation application of the card reader, transmission to a central server, auto-collation of results and viewing at wards, and auditing of results and confirmation at local government, state and national levels.

Mahmud Yakubu

No less than the INEC chairman, Mahmud Yakubu, has also mentioned the plan to deploy electronic collation and transmission of results during the 2019 elections. He said this in June 2017 during a meeting with the Computer Professionals Registration Council.

“Something happened in 2015 in our elections with the increasing deployment of technology,” the chairman said.

“This commission is committed to further deepening the deployment of technology, and we very heartily welcome this discussion with the apex body for the regulation of computer professional practice in Nigeria, and whatever you require of the commission that we can do within the law, I want to assure you that we shall do so.”

He added: “We are pioneering and we hope to deploy in the 2019 general elections a new platform for electronic collation and transmission of results.”

Attahiru Jega

The immediate past INEC chairman, Attahiru Jega, has also confirmed the existence of a “central server”. In a statement signed by Kayode Robert Idowu, his chief press secretary, and released on March 10, 2015, he confirmed that card readers are used to transmit information to the agency’s server.

“The SCR sends the data of all accredited voters to INEC’s central server, equipping the Commission to be able to audit figures subsequently filed by polling officials at the PU and, thereby, be able to determine if fraudulent alterations were made,” the statement said. “The public demonstration also succeeded wholly in this regard.”

Army court-martials 14 officers, soldiers accused of murder, kidnapping

Olugbenga ADANIKIN
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Army court-martials 14 officers, soldiers accused of murder, kidnapping

THE Nigerian Army said on Saturday it has begun proceedings to court-martial 14 officers and soldiers accused of murder, kidnapping and desertion, among other criminal offences.

Inaugurating the court proceedings in Port Harcourt, General Officer Commanding Army 6 Division, Port Harcourt, Maj.-Gen. Jamil Sarham, said the suspects were officers and soldiers of the division.

Sarham said the General Court Martial was convened in compliance to Section 131 of the Armed Forces Act guiding professional conduct of the nation’s military.

“The offences for which the accused persons are being tried range from murder, attempted murder, kidnapping, (and) desertion.

“Others are offences in relation to public and service property, disobedience to standing orders and conducts to the prejudice to service discipline.

“All the offences are punishable under the Armed Forces Act CAP A20 Law of the Federation of Nigeria 2004,” he said.

The GOC said the army has zero tolerance for indiscipline, adding that it would never shield any personnel, no matter how highly placed from the law.

He said the armed forces hold personnel in high esteem, and as such, would not put personnel on trial unless the matter was thoroughly investigated.

According to him, the trial was not only aimed at prosecuting the suspects but to discourage others from indulging in criminality.

“To this end, each accused person was thoroughly investigated to ensure that an innocent person is not wrongly tried and punished.

“The headquarters 6 division has painstakingly selected credible officers with in-depth knowledge and outstanding experience of military law and duties as members of the court-martial to ensure fair hearing and justice.”

The News Agency of Nigeria reports that the accused personnel include three officers and 11 soldiers, including a major, two captains, two staff sergeants and one sergeant, among other ranks.

(NAN)

FACT-CHECK: Did INEC receive money for servers to store electoral data?

'Kunle ADEBAJO
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FACT-CHECK: Did INEC receive money for servers to store electoral data?

WHETHER or not the Independent National Electoral Commission, INEC, made use of a central server in storing poll results for the 2019 general election has recently been a subject of heated controversy.

In a petition sent to the presidential election tribunal in March, the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) claimed its candidate, Atiku Abubakar, defeated Muhammadu Buhari, candidate of the ruling party, by 1.6 million votes. This information, the party said, was retrieved from the electoral commission’s server, which has the authentic results.

INEC, however, replied that the numbers peddled by the PDP were fabricated and said it did not adopt electronic transmission of collation of results.

Atiku, in April, gave the tribunal what he called the “unique MAC address and Microsoft product ID of the INEC server”.

“The figures and votes were transmitted to the first Respondent’s Presidential Result’s Server 1 and thereafter aggregated in INEC_PRES_RSLT_SRV2019, whose Physical Address or unique Mac Address is 94-57-A5-DC-64-B9 with Microsoft Product ID 00252-7000000000-AA535,” he said.

“The 1st Respondent specifically denies the existence of electronic transmission of results as it is unknown to the Electoral Act, 2010 (as amended) and Regulations and Guidelines for the conduct of the elections, 2019,” it said in its response.

Following an application to the tribunal by the PDP for an order compelling INEC to grant access to the server, the agency maintained that it does not have any server.

“They are asking us to bring something we do not have,” Yunus Usman, its lawyer, said, though this position contradicts statements made before the election by INEC’s commissioners.

Claims have been circulated suggesting that INEC spent “millions of naira” on a server. In this fact-check, The ICIR takes a look at documents drafted by the commission itself, which confirm that it intended to procure various servers for the 2019 election and that, in fact, it got funded for those procurements.

A little background

President Buhari had, in July and September, written to the National Assembly requesting for N242 billion as virement and supplementary budget to fund the 2019 general election. Out of this amount, N189 billion was allocated to INEC while the rest went to the Nigeria Police, Civil Defence, and other security agencies.

The Senate Committee on Appropriations on the Virement Request headed by Muhammed Danjuma Goje, in its interim report, recommended that N144.7 billion be transferred from the Special Intervention Programme recurrent budget and N44.2 billion from the programme’s capital budget.

Adding this to the N45 billion recurrent expenses already approved for INEC in the 2018 budget, it meant INEC’s total budget for 2018 was N234.5 billion.

In October, the National Assembly approved the N242 billion supplementary budget as sent by the president—only changing the source of the funding from the legislators’ special projects votes to the Special Intervention Programme.

Does the supplementary budget provide for servers?

Yes, it does. INEC’s supplementary budget was made public by the Policy and Legal Advocacy Centre (PLAC), a nonprofit committed to facilitating legislative advocacy and access to public policies.

According to the document (archived here), INEC proposed to spend N143.5 billion on 209 items. Out of that amount, N2.27 billion was budgeted for server-related procurement items, with budget code 230808. The purpose of a computer server is simply to store, retrieve, and send information to other computers connected to a network.

N1.37 billion was budgeted for nationwide replacement of servers for 25 states and National Data Centre, N99.7 million for an upgrade of the server version of OpenVR for compatibility with new Dell server, and N800 million for the migration of voter registration database from MySQL Open Source to OracleDB (both database administration services).

INEC’s supplementary budget. Source: PLAC Nigeria

INEC also budgeted N157.5 million for the renewal and maintenance of cloud infrastructure, with budget code 230709.

Though the National Assembly sub-committees on INEC and electoral matters, headed by Suleiman Nazif and Aishatu Dukku, recommended the reduction of the some of the proposed amounts, the proposed budget was eventually passed in full.

Not only was the approval absolute, but the office of the Accountant-General reports in its “Capital Performance of the Budget” document that all of the amount (N188.9 billion) was released to INEC and spent by it.

The plan for servers predates 2018 budgeting process

It is worth mentioning that the word server is likewise used four times in INEC’s “2017-2021 Strategic Programme of Action” (archived here).

According to the plan, the agency’s ICT department was expected to award contracts by the first quarter of each year for the upgrade of existing mail server and expansion of INEC mail system to states and local government offices.

The department was to get approval by the second quarter of 2017 and 2018 for the procurement of servers for all 36 states and the Federal Capital Territory. It was also to upgrade the server version of Open VR for compatibility with the new Dell Server.

INEC’s 2017-2021 Strategic Programme of Action

The renewal and maintenance of cloud infrastructure as well as the development of data management tools “for archiving election results and other electoral activities” were also provided for in the programme of action.

Conclusion

It is true that money (over N2 billion naira) for the procurement and upgrade of servers was approved for INEC by the National Assembly and it has had a longterm plan favouring the electronic storage of electoral results.

The amount was also released to INEC and the commission reported it as utilised. If the agency insists it does not have a server, then it has some explaining to do on how exactly it spent the relevant funds.

IEA projects drop in oil prices in 2020, cuts down estimates over global trade tensions

Amos ABBA
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IEA projects drop in oil prices in 2020, cuts down estimates over global trade tensions

FOLLOWING attacks on two oil tankers carrying petroleum products at the Strait of Hormuz, a strategic waterway in the Persian Gulf, through which one – fifth of the world’s oil is transported, the International Energy Agency, IEA, on Friday in its monthly report predicts an increased global oil supply that would be more than the demand in 2020 which is likely to result in lower oil prices.

The global energy authority which directs the energy policies of industrial nations adjusted its 2019 global oil demand growth estimate by 100,000 barrels to 1.2 million barrels per day with a projected 1.4 million barrels per day increase next year.

“The main focus is on oil demand as economic sentiment weakens … The consequences for oil demand are becoming apparent,” the IEA said in its monthly oil report.

Though the report anticipates growth in world oil demand to accelerate to 1.4 million barrels per day in 2020, it also predicts a 2.3 million barrels per day increase in supply which might result to a slump in oil prices.

“A clear message from our first look at 2020 is that there is plenty of non-OPEC supply growth available to meet any likely level of demand, assuming no major geopolitical shock. This is welcome news for consumers and the wider health of the currently vulnerable global economy, as it will limit significant upward pressure on oil prices,” the report stated.

It is expected that demand will pick up markedly, averaging 1.2 per cent in 2019 and 1.4 per cent next year. The ongoing trade war between the US and China has helped the global oil market stage a recovery from the 2016 drop in oil prices as prices surged to about $75 per barrel in recent months according to the report, despite, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, OPEC, decision to cut down oil supply by 650,000 barrels per day in the first quarter of 2019, to increase prices in the global market.

The IEA report states that if OPEC continues with its stance to reduce oil output below the 650,000 barrels per day ceiling to improve oil prices. Production would be at its lowest since 2003 suggesting its strategy to support the oil market would have backfired, the report said.

What does this mean for the Nigerian economy?
The Central Bank of Nigeria, CBN, earlier in the year had predicted a forecast GDP growth of 3 per cent for 2019 partly due to projections driven by higher crude oil prices.

Richmond Osuji, an oil and gas consultant told The ICIR, that without the appropriate physical infrastructure put in place by the government to cushion the effects of lower crude oil prices the economy of the country will be hit badly.
“When the prices of crude oil dropped in 2016 we fell into recession so it is obvious that our economy will suffer from the effects of low prices since we depend majorly on revenue from the sector. However, when we came out of recession it was because crude prices rose, we didn’t have a strong strategy apart from depending on market forces to bail us out,” he said.

 

He affirmed that with the expansion of domestic gas utilisation in the country and an increase in the number of modular refineries in the country it would be easier for Nigeria to thrive in the face of dwindling global oil prices.

“If our government can’t make the refineries functional and effective then privatisation is another option. It will go a long way in bringing down the price of petroleum products and expanding the domestic usage of gas to drive production efforts to rake in profits,” he said.

Judiciary must be sanitised to win anti-corruption war – Ribadu

Olugbenga ADANIKIN
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Judiciary must be sanitised to win anti-corruption war – Ribadu

EXCEPT the Federal Government properly ‘sanitise’ the judicial system, its anti-corruption campaign would yield little or no result.

Former Chairman of the Economic Financial and Crimes Commission (EFCC), Nuhu Ribadu disclosed this on Friday during a convocation lecture at the Federal University Dutsin-Ma, Katsina State.

He said cleansing the judiciary should be the first move and fighting corruption is a matter of life or death which if not won, could deprive the nation of needed development.

According to him, it is a fight that should be relentless, ruthless and holistic.

“A major step towards attaining result in the fight against corruption is by first cleaning up our entire justice sector. There would only be limited or no success in the anti-corruption campaign if the justice system is not properly sanitised to shoulder that important responsibility,” Says Ribadu.

“Fighting corruption is an existential fight; it is one that we have to win or die trying. Corruption deprives the society of development and further impoverishes the poor. It is, therefore, one fight that should be relentless, ruthless & holistic.”

He added that,“For a long time, security, in concrete and abstract terms has been used to conceal expenditures that are largely fraudulent or dubious. If we learn any lessons from the arms probe, is that not everything written in the name of security actually gets spent for the listed purpose.”

The former EFCC chairman, however, insisted that Nigerians must insist that whatever money being spent especially in the guise of security must be budgeted for in annual budgets for the purpose of transparency and accountability.


He said he once advocated for the establishment of a national charter and strategy for the fight against corruption expected to converge all layers of governance such that it would outline specific requirements, responsibilities, commitments and performance indicators.

Speaking on need for a centralised data system, Ribadu said the appropriate authority should set up data registry that would enable authorities have easy access on details of basic information of all citizens as well as records of financial transactions, tax records, assets, crime history, physical addresses among others stressing that it remains vital in fighting corruption and financial crimes.

“Data centre, which will house a beneficial ownership register, is the most important modern tool of following money, tracking transactions and information sharing among law enforcement and other agencies of government.”

He advised the populace to act as citizens and question the authorities in power rather than being spectators.

FACT-CHECK: NYSC says it’s at ‘forefront’ of total compliance with FOI Act, but it’s not true

Olugbenga ADANIKIN
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FACT-CHECK: NYSC says it’s at ‘forefront’ of total compliance with FOI Act, but it’s not true

THE Director-General of National Youth Service Corps (NYSC), Brig. Gen. Shuaibu Ibrahim on Friday says the Corps has been at the forefront of  total compliance with the provisions of the Freedom of Information Act (FOIA), but the statement is false.

He disclosed this on Friday during the opening ceremony of the NYSC Freedom of Information Desk Officers’ workshop held in Abuja.

“You will recall that since the enactment of the Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) in 2011, NYSC has been at the forefront of ensuring total compliance with the provisions of the Act,” says Ibrahim.

“I, therefore, charge you to continue on this positive stead by ensuring effective record management, effective liaison as well as prompt response to enquiries in your respective secretariats.”

The event was put together for the 37 FOI desk officers of the public institutions nationwide, including the Federal Capital Territory (FCT).

The DG  described the recruitments, training and mentoring of the FOIA corps as laudable.

However, an annual survey of FOIA compliance conducted by an independent Non-Governmental Organisation (NGO), Public Private Development Centre (PPDC) has shown the DG’s claim to be false.

Since 2015 till 2018, the PPDC annual FOI ranking revealed that NYSC has not been complying with the FOIA requests, let alone lead the compliance ranking.

In 2015, the NYSC ranked 116th position while the Nigerian Export Promotion Council (NEPC) ranked first on the list. In 2016 it rose to 97th position while the Bureau of Public Service Reforms (BPSR) took the first position.

While the BPSR maintained its first position in 2017, the NYSC ranked 75 on the list. The most recent survey conducted by the PPDC for 2018 had the Corporate Affairs Commission (CAC) taken the first position while NYSC ranked 82nd.

There was no time since the enactment of the law that the NYSC led on the compliance table.

NYSC in fact is among other several government Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDAs)  notorious for ignoring FOIA requests.

The FOIA was enacted in 2011 as part of measures to promote transparency and accountability in government institutions whereby the public is legally permitted to request and receive public information of interest.

The ICIR severally reported how agencies of government under President Muhammadu Buhari disregarded FOIA requests during his first term in office.

 

 

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