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Nigeria officially enters eighth recession, fourth economic downturn under Buhari

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NIGERIA has officially entered into its worst economic recession in over three decades, posting its worst growth rate since 1983.

According to the National Bureau of Statistics, NBS records released on Saturday, Nigeria’s economic growth contracted by -3.62 percent in the third quarter of 2020.

This is the second consecutive quarterly Gross Development Product, GDP decline since the recession of 2016. The cumulative GDP for the first nine months of 2020 stood at -2.48 percent.

The GDP growth rate measures the economic output of a nation by comparing one-quarter of the country’s GDP, to the previous quarter.

When the GDP growth rate of a country is negative consecutively for two financial quarters, then the economy of that country slides into recession.

According to records from the NBS, this is also officially the second recession under President Muhamadu Buhari’s democratic regime and his fourth recession as head of state.

Analysis by The ICIR shows that Nigeria had experienced eight recessions from 1960 to date. It recorded its first recession in 1967 posting a GDP growth rate of -15.74 percent, followed by a – 5.23 percent in 1975, -5.76 percent in 1978, and -13.13 percent in 1981.

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In 1982, the growth rate was -10.92 per cent, -10.92 per cent in 1983, -2.04 per cent in 1993, -1.62 per cent in 2016 and -3.62 in 2020.

Key indicators that drive a nation’s GDP growth include its consumer spendings on goods and services, business investments in the country, government spendings, and net trade.

The country has also recorded a fair share of economic prosperity recording its highest economic growth rate at 25.10 percent in 1970, but today the growth rate has crashed to -3.62 percent.

However, this recession makes Nigeria an unlikely destination for Foreign Direct Investment, FDI, as it offers limited opportunities for business growth, particularly when foreign corporate brands are considering an expansion into new regions.

Author profile

Amos Abba is a journalist with the International Center for Investigative Reporting, ICIR, who believes that courageous investigative reporting is the key to social justice and accountability in the society.

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