After 2015 elections, series of significant changes took place – there was (is) recession, which sent many millionaires under and produced new set of money bags. That’s what change is – no permanent champion but current champion.

Like the recession, the defeat suffered by the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP)  during the 2015 elections has also thrown up a new set of kingmakers from what is left of the party.  There are only two of them; they decide who gets what and who is schemed out, as the case may be.

One has the resources and the other gift of the gabs. They are Nyesom Wike, Governor of Rivers State, and Ayodele Fayose, Governor of Ekiti State; they have assumed the position of kingmakers of the rejuvenated PDP. For now, they are the ‘Dynamic duo’.

If you are in doubt, ask Alimodu Sheriff. He joined PDP in 2014 and by some manipulations in 2016, he became the Chairman of National Working Committee of the party and was at one time the acting National Chairman. No thanks to arms deal scam – those who could lay claim to the remains of the party were haunted by EFCC investigations.

Those who followed PDP would still recall how Wike and Fayose spearheaded the return of Sheriff and ultimately crowned him with that position. But they both superintended his removal because, according to them, his continuous stay as the National Chairman of the party would jeopardise the party. “Ali must go,” because “his leadership was destabilising the party,” Wike had said.

Sheriff was supposed to be third leg of their tripod stand because of his wealth; he might not really have that political clout and acumen, but he was becoming too powerful than they could imagine.

“I supported Senator Ali Modu Sheriff in good conscience. But when it became obvious that his continuous stay in office as the National Chairman will jeopardise the collective interest of the party, I had no option than to support his removal,” Fayose said after the 2016 national convention of the party held in Portharcourt.

They did the magic: expended all that was needed to see him out of the party and installed Ahmed Makarfi as the Chairman of the party’s National Caretaker Committee, the position Sheriff was made to vacate through court injunction.

That was indeed the beginning of their emergence as the two musketeers and the new PDP kingmakers but many within the party, including Bode George, former Deputy National Chairman, underestimated their strength.

Fayose and Wike have a lot in common and they perfectly fit each other. While Fayose has been the unofficial face of the opposition party since the buildup to the 2015 elections and up till date, Wike is the much needed engine room of the party, especially as he is about the strongest governor the party can boast of at the moment; he provides the finances.

SECONDUS’ EMERGENCE: WIKE AND FAYOSE’S VICTORY

In politics, loyalty is a scarce commodity; no one is loyal to anyone, or better put, there is no permanent loyalty. Politicians go to where their interests are protected. Therefore, it was mere display of political naivety that Bode George, Tunde Adeniran, Rashidi Ladoja and others from the South West could think that Fayose could possibly be on their side. No way, he was on the other side.

Fayose is always smarter; he knew the South West could not and would not clinch the position – because the convention was already held before that Saturday. He and Wike had decided who would be the party’s Chairman.

While George and others, though without such financial muscle to make delegates do their bidding in a game defined by money, were banking on the zoning arrangement they claimed had ceded the national chairmanship to the South West, Fayose and his partner had perfectly positioned Uche Secondus, who is from Rivers State, South South, for the seat. Secondus had always wanted that position before now.

By a fiat sort of, Wike, before the convention, came out clear about where the pendulum was swinging. He said Secondus, a former Acting Chairman of the party, was the best candidate to lead the PDP in view of his experience and track record.

“I have analysed the scenario. I have analysed the delegates spread of each state. There is no way that Prince Uche Secondus will not coast to victory by over 90 per cent of delegates votes,” Wike had said.

“I am talking because I am in the campaign team of Prince Uche Secondus and I am a delegate.

“Secondus has never said anything negative against any other candidate. He has remained focused on his campaign. Somebody who believes that he will win will not resort to writing petitions before the convention.”

And this is why Bode George was better and perhaps still bitter. Wike was quoted as saying that “National Chairmanship in the South-west will not change the fortunes of the PDP”.

According to him, the fortunes of the party did not improve in terms of votes in that zone, even when the President hailed from the South-west.

“The zone is prone to incessant crises as can be seen. Any candidate who emerges from the South-west will lead to further crisis from other factions from that zone.

“Only a candidate from outside the South-west such as Prince Uche Secondus can unite the zone. He has the reach and capacity to unite all factions in the South-west. He is the person suited for the party at this time, he said.

With these words, Tunde Adeniran and Taoheed Adedoja who eventually featured in the contest after George and five others withdrew, only made a mockery of themselves. Two hundred and thirty votes and none for Adeniran and Adedoja says more about the influence, power and control wielded by the two kingmakers.

Those who sniff around say billions of naira was expended before Secondus could coast home victory. In fact, delegates from the north and south zones, it was gathered became overnight millionaires after the convention, because, as it was said by those who saw it all, they were well paid to vote for the ‘right candidate’. Whether those who are aggrieved like it or not, this is a victory for these two men.

SO WHAT’S FOR SOUTH EAST, SOUTH WEST?

It is arguably not celebration yet for the PDP after its convention. The ability of those who produced its Chairman during the convention to manage “their success” from now on to 2019 will to a large extent determine whether or not the party is ready for redemption of Nigeria.

Though it is obviously looking like a house of commotion at the moment, it may be too early to judge anyway.  But certain issues must quickly be determined and resolved if the party must make any serious come back.

Ikwe Ekweremadu, Deputy Senate President from the South East and the most senior political officer on the platform of PDP in the present administration, chaired the PDP Post-Election Review Committee that zoned the 2019 presidential ticket of the party to the North and the position of national chairman to the South.

Ceteris paribus, Ekweremadu was positioning himself as the Vice Presidential candidate if the North, as agreed in the report, takes the presidency, and the South the National Chairman. But with the result of the last weekend convention, it is obvious that the South West can only be assuaged with the position of Vice President, some analysts are asking: so what does the South East get afterwards?

It is not clear how the men who decide who gets what now in PDP are going to arrange the house. The belief carried to the convention by people like George and Adeniran was the 2016 zoning arrangement that gave the office of National Chairman to the South-West, with the understanding that the South-East would take the slot of Vice-President.

Now that the South East has traded off what could have been a golden opportunity to have a shot at the presidency, this is the beginning of an end for a party that is seeking to wrestle power for APC in 2019.

Under these men, can the PDP get it right especially with what seems to a false start? Despite the return of Atiku Abubakar to the party, hoping to find a platform for his presidential ambition, Ahmed Makarfi, is actually the man Wike and Fayose are rooting for. Between Makarfi and Atiku, there’s none of the two who could still be said to be a match for President Muhammadu Buhari if he decides to run again. If the President runs again and PDP fails to arrange its house and bring a people’s choice as its candidate, it does seem that it will still spend another four year as a pseudo-opposition party.