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Tinubu reforms fail to lift 139 million Nigerians out of poverty, says World Bank

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THE World Bank has raised concerns about the inability of the Bola Tinubu-led administration’s economic reforms to stabilise the economy and lift about 139 million Nigerians out of poverty. 

The World Bank Country Director for Nigeria, Mathew Verghis, made this known on Wednesday during the launch of the October 2025 edition of the Nigeria Development Update, titled “From Policy to People: Bringing the Reform Gains Home.”

“Despite these stabilisation gains, many households are still struggling with eroded purchasing power. Poverty, which began to rise in 2019 due to policy missteps and external shocks such as COVID-19, has continued to increase even after the reforms. In 2025, we estimate that 139 million Nigerians live in poverty,” he stressed.

The new figure marks a sharp rise from 129 million in April 2025 and 87 million in 2023, highlighting the worsening hardship faced by households despite the ongoing economic reforms.

The ICIR reported that the Central Bank of Nigeria pitched high interest rates as the most severe constraint affecting business operations in June 2025, overtaking long-standing challenges such as insecurity and poor electricity supply.

The apex bank disclosed this in its June 2025 Business Expectations Survey, which polled 1,900 firms across the agriculture, services, and industrial sectors. According to the report, high interest rates scored 75.6 on the constraint index, followed by insecurity at 75.2 and insufficient power supply at 74.3.

Accordingly, Verghis, in his latest remark, warned that the country could lose the progress made through these reforms if they do not lead to real improvements in citizens’ living conditions.

“Over the last two years, Nigeria has commendably implemented bold reforms, notably around the exchange rate and the petrol subsidy. These are the foundations on which the country has the opportunity to build a programme that can transform its economic trajectory,” he said.

Verghis explained that the report outlined three key priorities for turning Nigeria’s policy achievements into better living standards for its citizens: curbing inflation, ensuring more efficient use of public resources, and expanding social protection for the poor and vulnerable.

He stressed that tackling food inflation should be central to Nigeria’s policy response, warning that continued high food prices could undermine public support for reforms and slow down economic recovery.

“Food inflation affects everybody, particularly the poor. Persistent differences between Nigeria’s inflation rate and those of its trading partners will put pressure on the exchange rate and create a vicious cycle. Lower inflation will also allow interest rates to come down and support growth,” he stated.

The World Bank chief, however, praised Nigeria’s bold reforms in the exchange rate and fuel subsidy sectors, describing them as “foundational” measures capable of transforming the country’s long-term economic outlook.

Comparing Nigeria’s current reform moment to the historic policy changes implemented in India in the early 1990s, he stressed that such rare opportunities must be seized with determination or risk being squandered.

The Director, who also spoke on the positives in Tinubu’s reforms, said there are indications that economic growth is improving alongside the government’s revenues, adding that “debt indicators are strengthening, the foreign exchange market is stabilising, reserves are rising, and inflation is slowly easing.”

“These results are exactly what you need to see in a stabilisation phase. These are big achievements, and many countries would envy them,” he added.

He further warned that these macroeconomic gains have not yet resulted in better living conditions for ordinary Nigerians and called for complementary structural reforms to address deep-seated inefficiencies in food production, distribution, and market systems.

“Monetary and fiscal policies must be complemented by structural reforms aimed specifically at reducing food inflation, which is driven by deep-seated supply and market inefficiencies,” he added.

The World Bank further called on Nigeria to strengthen its public financial management systems to ensure that every naira spent yields measurable development results. It also urged the government to expand the national social safety net to shield the poorest citizens from the effects of ongoing economic reforms.

“The challenge is clear: to translate the gains from the stabilisation reforms into better living standards for all. These are not abstract ideas but practical steps that can turn macro stability into better livelihoods,” he said.

The ICIR reported in August that small-scale businesses and industries are expressing displeasure about the impact of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s economic reforms, which are raising further concerns about the negative effects on their operations.

Boko Haram on the rise again in Nigeria: how it’s survived and how to weaken it

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By Saheed Babajide Owonikoko, Modibbo Adama University of Technology

ABUBAKAR Shekau, the erstwhile leader of the terrorist group Jama’at Ahl al-Sunna li al-Da’wa wa al-Jihad (JAS), died in 2021. The west African group, also known as Boko Haram, then fell into obscurity while its breakaway faction, Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP), steadily rose.

Early 2025 saw Boko Haram resurging in the Lake Chad region, however, with attacks in Nigeria and Cameroon. Lake Chad is in west-central Africa, in the Sahelian zone. It is located at the conjunction of Chad, Cameroon, Nigeria and Niger.

As a security studies scholar tracking Boko Haram, I discuss reasons for this resurgence, and its impacts, and recommend possible responses from Lake Chad region countries.

Evidence of Boko Haram resurgence

On 15 May 2025, Boko Haram massacred close to 100 residents of Mallam Karamti and Kwatandashi villages in Nigeria’s Borno State. A report has it that Boko Haram attacked the residents because they were loyal to, and served as informants for, Islamic State West Africa Province.

On 5 September, it attacked Darul Jamal village in Borno State, killing about 60 people. A researcher specialising in Boko Haram at the Institute for Security Studies, Taiwo Adebayo, was said to have spoken with residents of the community who attributed the attack to Boko Haram, possibly because of information about the group being shared with the Nigerian military.

There are also reports that the group has extended its reach beyond Lake Chad to North Central region of Nigeria, where it is operating with bandits and possibly Lakurawa, the new terrorist group in that region.

In Far North region of Cameroon, the group has also been active. Reports shared on LinkedIn showed that in July and August 2025, it was responsible for 101 attacks out of 144.

What explains the resurgence

Four factors explain why Boko Haram has become more active again in the Lake Chad region.

First, the rise of one of its leaders, Bakura Doro, and his efforts to sustain Boko Haram gains over Islamic State West Africa Province.

Doro was the Lake Chad Amir al-Fiya (zone commander) before Shekau’s death. He was announced as the leader in May 2022 after a violent takeover from Sahalaba, a cleric whom Shekau had reportedly designated as his successor in his will. Doro reinforced Boko Haram by fighting Islamic State West Africa Province, killing members and capturing its territories in Lake Chad.

He also shunned media propaganda, thus taking the public gaze away from Boko Haram while it grew unnoticed. Although reports said Bakura was killed in Niger in August 2025, the group denied it.

The second factor is that it received less attention from the Lake Chad militaries. Instead, attention was on Islamic State for its targeted attacks on military outposts since early 2025.

By July 2025, 15 outposts had been attacked. The Lake Chad region countries’ counterterrorism efforts focused on countering ISWAP, dangerously neglecting Boko Haram.

The third factor is the failure of reintegration programmes across the region. In Nigeria, for one, community rejection, unmet government promises, limited political will and a weak framework have caused many ex-combatants to return to the trenches.

The fourth factor is combat stress or fatigue among soldiers of the Lake Chad region countries. For instance, more than 1,000 soldiers resigned from the army between 2020 and 2024 in Nigeria. Nigeria’s total armed forces personnel was estimated at 230,000 in 2020.

The weakened commitment of the countries to the Multinational Joint Task Force adds to the problem. Nigeria established the force in 1994 to checkmate trans-border armed banditry around the Lake Chad Basin. In 1998, Chadian and Nigerien soldiers joined the task force.

Niger’s withdrawal in protest against Ecowas sanctions; Chad’s declining support; and strained Nigeria-Cameroon relations have limited the effectiveness of the task force.

All this gives insurgent groups impetus to intensify their attacks.

Implications of resurgent Boko Haram

To understand the implications, it is essential to distinguish Boko Haram’s ideology from that of Islamic State. While the latter primarily targets military forces and non-Muslim communities, Boko Haram’s violence is aimed at all, except its members.

The attempt by Shekau’s successor, Sahalaba, to align with Islamic State West Africa Province’s more selective attacks led to his death, leaving Boko Haram rigidly committed to ruthless attacks.

The result might be a worsening of humanitarian conditions and disruption of community resettlement programmes in the region.

According to a June 2025 report of the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs, the region hosts 2.9 million internally displaced people and 272,000 refugees. I believe this figure may rise as violence escalates. But donor funding is shrinking.

Boko Haram’s blend of jihad with criminal activities such as robbery and kidnapping not only sustains its operations but may also attract disaffected youth, given the region’s fragile socio-economic conditions, especially the high rate of poverty and unemployment.

The competition between both insurgent groups, and between them and the military, places civilians in danger. Each actor seeks local support and intelligence, and communities risk severe punishment if perceived as loyal to the opposing side.

A constraint currently confronting Boko Haram is the shortage of weaponry. To bridge this gap, I believe it may focus its attacks on military outposts across the region. They may be encouraged by the successes of Islamic State’s attacks on the military outposts and the transfer of combat experience and technical expertise from former Islamic State fighters who have defected to Boko Haram. If it joins the attacks against military outposts in the area, the consequences will be fatal.

What can be done?

The governments and militaries of Lake Chad region countries should pay attention to Boko Haram as much as Islamic State in their counter-terrorism efforts.

There is a need to improve security cooperation among the countries by luring Niger back into the Multinational Joint Task Force and ensuring members’ commitment to the force.

Enhanced welfare services from the countries to their citizens can reduce incentives to join Boko Haram and other insurgent groups.

Strengthening defection programmes is crucial to prevent former terrorists from going back to groups like Boko Haram. I recommend harmonising regional deradicalisation efforts to enhance their effectiveness.The Conversation

Saheed Babajide Owonikoko, Researcher, Centre for Peace and Security Studies, Modibbo Adama University of Technology

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

Uche Nnaji: SSS, other screening agencies failed in due diligence, says Atiku

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FORMER Vice President Atiku Abubakar has berated the professionalism of the State Security Services (SSS) and other screening agencies of the Federal Government over what he described as ‘failed due diligence’ following the resignation of the Minister of Innovation, Science, and Technology, Uche Nnaji, over allegations of certificate forgery.

The former Vice President argued that the situation raises questions about the integrity of government appointees and the effectiveness of Nigeria’s vetting institutions, including the State Security Services (SSS). He added that the agency, which screened the minister, failed in its duty of due diligence.

He has also called for a comprehensive investigation into the credentials of all members of the Federal Executive Council (FEC)

In a statement personally signed by him and released on Wednesday, October 8, Atiku said the development reflects what he described as a moral crisis within the current administration. He said the minister’s exit should not have been treated as a voluntary resignation but as a serious breach that warranted dismissal and prosecution.

“The resignation of the Minister of Science and Technology has once again brought to light the deep moral crisis at the heart of the administration. What should ordinarily be a matter of national shame is now being disguised as a voluntary resignation,” Atiku said.

Atiku said the incident is part of a wider pattern of falsehood in governance, calling for a transparent review of the credentials of all cabinet members. “When a man of questionable identity leads a country, deception becomes the standard of governance,” he said.

He urged anti-corruption and security agencies to conduct a thorough verification of the academic and professional records of public officials to restore integrity in the government.

“Nigerians deserve to know the truth about those who preside over their lives and resources,” he added.

Atiku said the country must now use this moment to strengthen institutional accountability and ensure that public office is reserved for individuals of proven integrity

Recent reports by the Premium Times revealed that the former minister allegedly forged both his university and National Youth Service Corps certificates.

The University of Nigeria, Nsukka, had earlier disowned the certificate, stating that there were no records showing he graduated in 1985 as claimed. The Federal High Court in Abuja has since adjourned a related case between the university and the minister to November 10 for hearing.

Earlier reports by The ICIR have shown that the Senate and the State Security Service often fail to uncover discrepancies during ministerial screening, largely due to political compromises and the long-standing “bow and go” practice.

The ICIR reports that the case adds to Nigeria’s shameful list of forged credential cases among public officials, as individuals with questionable qualifications or integrity slip through vetting processes put in place to uphold transparency and competence in public office.

Recall that then-Minister of Finance Kemi Adeosun brought the Muhammadu Buhari administration into national disrepute in 2018 after a Premium Times report revealed that she presented a forged NYSC exemption certificate as part of her credentials.

The purported NYSC certificate was said to have been signed by a former director-general of the NYSC, Yusuf Bomoi, in 2009.

However, Maharazu Tsiga, former NYSC DG, who took over from Bomoi, said Adeosun’s certificate could not have been issued by the NYSC.

Although former President Buhari had referred Kemi Adeosun and other ministerial nominees to the SSS for security screening in September 2015, it was unclear how her forged NYSC exemption certificate slipped through the agency’s scrutiny.

The minister consequently resigned from office after public backlash.

The ICIR reports that Forgery is a criminal offence under Section 465 of the Nigerian Criminal Code Act, which defines it as the making of a false document or alteration of a genuine one with the intent to deceive.

The offence is punishable under Section 467 of the Criminal Code Act.

EMILOKANSOMIASIS: The Plague And The Magic

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BY ONOME OSIFO-WHISKEY

IN the late 1980s, The Guardian of London amidst rave reviews, drew a charmed embrace from the rest of the British press and the general public. That was when the paper’s Longman’s GUARDIAN New Words, a dictionary of new words that made entry into the English language by 1986, hit the streets and newsstands. The book’s over 1000 new words, according to its blurb, range “from scientific and technical terms to trend usage and the terminology of politics, business, social issues and leisure”. Similar innovative publications in Nigeria — were they to hit the local newsstands and bookshops in these giddy days and times — would have been mind-blowingly interesting to the reading or learned public. They could be heartbreaking as well. For instance, the Yoruba word japa, which Google translates as “to run away” or “to flee”, has in the last few years assumed a dimension at once negatively profound and acerbic with social, political and economic implications. While it captures the high tide of young, highly educated but frustrated Nigerians fleeing the country — for greener pastures — to

Today, he is the Lord of the Manor at Aso Rock Villa, Abuja, wielding power in humongous excess of his lilliputian ballot box victory.

He can annul governorship offices and yet return the fallen occupants to power at his presidential pleasure or based on his executive whims and caprices

America, Canada, Britain, Western Europe, Australia, New Zealand, etc, its serious indictment of our national politics [with its deep-seated corruption], economic woes and low leadership indices cannot be overemphasised.

Soro soke, another terminology or phrase [with a Yoruba origin],which means speak out, captures the courageous but peaceful civil protests in Lagos over economic hardships and bad governance during the era of late President Muhammadu Buhari. Of course, not every new word coming into the Nigerian public domain is a damning lambast of the government of the day. Words like berekete [plenty, abundance, surplus], wahala [trouble, challenge] and shakara [bragging, boasting] are a sumptuous parade of catchwords or phrases of a socially brilliant and creative public. Yet no inventor of new words or phrases of great aristocracy, intellect and class comes near Nigeria’s current President, Bola Ahmed Tinubu, whose jagabanised title of Asiwaju possibly makes him the nation’s political “front runner” of his era. In this regard, words of gorgeous, soapbox meaninglessness like boulabou need not come up for mention. Rather, Emilokan [It is my turn (to rule)], assuredly is it. When Tinubu came up with this phrase three years ago to jump start his presidential campaign, it did carry a weight higher than the cagey preposterousness of the oracular pronouncements of the godly Greek Lady of Delphi.

His self-assuredness was great, resting on the almighty truism that leadership and power in a politically debauched Nigeria were for those who have the gravitas to pocket same at will, the so called electoral supremacy of the ballot box notwithstanding.

Power Tinubu did get, whether or not it was just a win of 25 to 30 per cent of the vote. This is sweet magic but it is the reality. Yes, it is power at the speed of thought, power at the beck of oracular science! But it is power. Today, he is the Lord of the Manor at Aso Rock Villa, Abuja, wielding power in humongous excess of his lilliputian ballot box victory. He can annul governorship offices and yet return the fallen occupants to power at his presidential pleasure or based on his executive whims and caprices. He can executively will it that ministers and governors, like in the days of yore under the military, come to the airport to bid him goodbye or welcome him from many of his foreign trips — trips whose number only university professors of mathematics can possibly accurately calculate.

No matter? No, not quite so. While rights and powers like this may well be the legitimate Emilokan booty of his office, it sadly stamps on the office and person of the President the disease and sickness of Emilokansomiasis, itself some ravaging cancer of political selfishness. Emilokancracy, the government of “It is My Turn” may be too narrow, too insular, to be politically feasible. The President, a great K.O. Mbadiwe man of “timber and calibre”, would obviously not like to be so judged. It then becomes imperative to widen the strategic reach and accommodation of the Emilokansomiasis that brought him to power in the first place. Great and smart. So, without noise, without a boulabou hoopla, he had to deodorise both Emilokansomiasis and Emilokancracy into a wider Awalokan [It is OUR Turn] political construct, one that invests it with a tidy, strategic popularity in his native, geopolitically important Southwest. Logistically, and of course with perfumed Machiavellian and Buharian tactics, the Yorubas of the Southwest have to be made to greatly profit from a “system capture” of the nation’s commonwealth and its politics.

Straightaway, the Southwest suddenly becomes the new epicentre of political and economic power. Positions such as Governor of the Central Bank

In the circumstance, when tomorrow comes, the tomorrow of 2027, Emilokansomiasis, with all its seasoned braggadocio, all its sweeteningly revamped Awalokan political mathematics, may find it very pretty challenging guaranteeing the Jagaban of politics a Rock of Gibraltar standing in the Presidential election

of Nigeria, Minister of Finance, Chief of Army Staff, Inspector-General of Police, Minister of Petroleum Resources [held by Tinubu himself], Group Managing Director of Nigeria National Petroleum Company [NNPC], Comptroller-General of Customs, Comptroller-General of Immigration, Chairman, Federal Inland Revenue Service, and countless chairmanships and directorships of parastatals and companies are the special reserves for Tinubu’s Southwest. This is the great magic for both the Tinubu Emilokan and Awalokan structures in the land! Brilliant!!

Unfortunately, the magic of Tinubu’s Emilokansomiasis upsets the nation’s intricate ethnic balance, setting fire to its highly inflammable political structure. Thus, since the Nigerian Civil War, never have the trenches of ethnicity been so sharply deepened and widened. Between the Yorubas and Igbos, an underground war of tribal bitterness and attrition has been raging, itself largely the outcome of the defeat of Tinubu by Peter Obi of Labour Party in the 2023 Presidential election in Lagos State, the supposedly impregnable political fortress and headquarters of the President.

In the North, besides Boko Haram’s long existing war of attrition, the ravages of the internecine skirmishes thrown up by ragtag formations of Fulani cattlemen and Bandits [both groups, in the main, the encouragement, if not creation, of President Buhari for the promotion and sustenance of Fulani irredentism] have rendered the country socially and economically restive amidst grave political worries. Thus, Tinubu’s politics has not been able to endear him to the North.

In the circumstance, when tomorrow comes, the tomorrow of 2027, Emilokansomiasis, with all its seasoned braggadocio, all its sweeteningly revamped Awalokan political mathematics, may find it very pretty challenging guaranteeing the Jagaban of politics a Rock of Gibraltar standing in the Presidential election. That, in itself, is the way these things go by. Like with the Communists’ Marxist postulation by which the thesis gives rise to its antithesis, even Nigeria’s very gifted Machiavelli and power mathematician may find in his deft magic wand some real plague as well.

Oh, what a charmed political scenery ours is!

  • This article was originally published in Tell magazine. It is republished here with permission

Tinubu’s minister accused of certificate forgery resigns

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THE Minister of Innovation, Science, and Technology, Geoffrey Uche Nnaji, has resigned from President Bola Tinubu’s cabinet following a report exposing how he allegedly forged his university and National Youth Service Corps (NYSC) certificates.

Nnaji’s resignation, confirmed in a statement issued by Bayo Onanuga, the Special Adviser to the President on Information and Strategy, came just days after a Premium Times investigation exposed discrepancies in the minister’s academic records and NYSC credentials.

The statement, which was released on Tuesday, October 7, noted that Tinubu has accepted his resignation, thanking him for his contributions to national development and wishing him success in his future endeavours.

On October 4, The ICIR reported how a two-year-long investigation by Premium Times found that both Nnaji’s university certificate and his National Youth Service Corps (NYSC) discharge certificate were forged.

According to the report, the University of Nigeria, Nsukka (UNN) disowned the Bachelor of Science certificate Nnaji claimed to have obtained from the institution, stating that there were no records showing he graduated in July 1985 as alleged.

The report quoted a response to a freedom of information request sent by the newspaper, which stated that while Nnaji was admitted in 1981, there is no record that he completed his studies or graduated in July 1985, as his certificate claims.

In a letter dated October 2, 2025, and signed by the Vice-Chancellor, Simon Ortuanya, a Professor, UNN disowned the certificate currently being paraded by the minister.

Further checks by the paper showed that although Nnaji was admitted to study biological sciences, he failed several courses before he was advised to withdraw.

In 1986, he reportedly wrote to the university seeking another opportunity to retake an examination, one year after claiming to have already graduated.

Premium Times reported that forensic analysis of the minister’s NYSC certificate also revealed glaring inconsistencies. 

The certificate bore the signature of a corps official who had only assumed office 18 months after the date it was supposedly issued. 

The report also noted that the certificate carried an invalid numbering system and suggested that Nnaji served for 13 months, contrary to the statutory 12-month programme.

The newspaper said that despite repeated requests for clarification, the minister failed to respond to the findings of its investigation.

Tinubu seeks $2.3 billion external loan to bridge 2025 budget gap

PRESIDENT Bola Ahmed Tinubu has asked the House of Representatives to approve an external borrowing plan of $2.3 billion to finance the 2025 budget deficit and refinance Nigeria’s maturing Eurobonds.

The request was contained in a letter read on the floor of the House by the Speaker of the House, Tajudeen Abbas, on Tuesday, October 7.

The President explained that the loan would be sourced from a combination of Eurobond issuance, loan syndication, bridge financing, and credit from international financial institutions.

A breakdown of the President’s letter disclosed that $1.2 billion of the amount would support the implementation of the 2025 Appropriation Act, while $1.1 billion would be used to offset Eurobonds, which are due for repayment.

Tinubu noted that Nigeria had made progress in raising funds domestically through the Sukuk bond programme, which generated over ₦1.39 trillion between 2017 and May 2025 for key road projects, adding that, “domestic borrowing alone could not close the existing infrastructure and financing gaps, hence the need to turn to external sources.”

The President also requested the legislature’s approval to issue a sovereign Sukuk bond worth up to $500 million, with or without a credit guarantee from the Islamic Corporation for the Insurance of Investment and Export Credit (ICIEC), an arm of the Islamic Development Bank. He explained that proceeds from the Sukuk would partly refinance more expensive debts, while the balance would be channelled into pre-selected infrastructure projects.

Notably, this proposal adds to a series of foreign loan requests made since Tinubu assumed office in 2023. Earlier in July 2025, the Senate had approved a $21 billion borrowing plan to finance key sectors, including health, education, agriculture, and housing. The same framework also covered a €4 billion facility, ¥15 billion from Japan, a $65 million grant, and $2 billion in local dollar-denominated loans.

Senate Appropriations Committee Chairman Solomon Adeola had said the plan was designed to ensure full implementation of the 2025 budget by combining revenue inflows with strategic borrowing.

Also in July, The ICIR reported that Tinubu formally requested approval from the National Assembly to borrow $347 million under the Federal Government’s 2025–2026 external borrowing plan.

The president cited urgent infrastructure and telecommunications needs for the decision.

The request was read on Wednesday, July 23, by the Speaker of the House of Representatives, Tajudeen Abbas, during plenary.

The request came a day after the Senate approved $21 billion borrowing framework for the same fiscal period.

The country’s public debt has, however, continued to rise. Data from the Debt Management Office (DMO) show that Nigeria’s total debt stock exceeded $108 billion by mid-2025, reflecting a growing dependence on loans to sustain fiscal operations amid revenue shortfalls.

Earlier in May, former Vice President Atiku Abubakar said Tinubu’s addiction to loans would mortgage Nigeria’s future.

He expressed his concern in a statement shared on his X handle on Thursday, May 29.

According to the former vice president, the announcement by the Tinubu-led All Progressives Congress (APC) government to pursue fresh external and domestic loans is a reckless and dangerous move that threatens the future of Nigeria and generations yet unborn.

“Despite national outrage, this administration is pushing ahead with plans to borrow $21.54 billion, €2.19 billion, and ¥15 billion — an equivalent of over $24 billion, which is more than 60 per cent of Nigeria’s total foreign exchange reserves.

“This borrowing spree will raise our total public debt from ₦144.7 trillion to a crushing ₦183 trillion,” he stated.

AFRICMIL petitions IGP over victimisation of police whistleblower in Katsina

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THE African Centre for Media and Information Literacy (AFRICMIL) has petitioned the Inspector General of Police(IGP), Kayode Egbetokun, over the alleged victimisation and threats to the life of a Katsina-based whistleblower, Mubarak Bello, who exposed a ghost workers’ racket within the Katsina State Police Command.

The petition, dated October 6, 2025, followed an investigation by The ICIR, which detailed Bello’s arrest and ongoing persecution after he blew the whistle on payroll fraud involving senior police officers.

The letter, signed by AFRICMIL’s Coordinator, Chido Onumah, was also copied to the Attorney General of the Federation and Minister of Justice, Lateef Fagbemi; the Independent Corrupt Practices and other Related Commission (ICPC) Chairman, Musa Adamu Aliyu; Executive Secretary of the National Human Rights Commission (NHRC), Anthony Okechukwu Ojukwu; and the Executive Director of the Whistleblowing International Network (WIN), Glasgow, Anna Myers.

Bello, an entrepreneur who ran a business centre within the Katsina State Police headquarters, was arrested on September 13 after a night patrol intercepted his car.

Police alleged they recovered a locally made rifle, live cartridges and a fake police identity card. They accused him of impersonation, unlawful possession of firearms and use of a false ID.

However, investigations by The ICIR revealed that Bello had for years pursued allegations of a ghost-worker scheme within the Katsina command, petitioning the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC), the ICPC, the Attorney General of the Federation and the Police Service Commission.

In his petition to the Attorney General of the Federation, Bello claimed the ID card was originally issued to him by the police when an attempt was made to enlist him and another individual into the force as part of the alleged fraud.

Although investigators confirmed that the ICPC invited key suspects, including finance officers Chief Superintendent of Police (CSP) Bashir Abubakar and the Assistant Superintendent of Police (ASP) Yakubu Ibrahim, the officers refused to appear, citing the need for approval from the former Inspector-General of Police, Mohammed Adamu.

That approval, ICPC officials said, never came, despite a couple of letters written to the Inspector General of Police.

The ICIR gathered that this consequently stalled the probe and has put the life of Bello, who has since been facing repeated attacks from the accused police officers, in danger.

In its petition, AFRICMIL said independent findings show Bello’s ordeal is a direct retaliation for exposing the payroll fraud.

Onumah said the organisation feared for Bello’s safety and that of his family, citing multiple attacks before and after his arrest.

The group urged the police authorities to ensure a thorough and transparent investigation into the alleged payroll fraud and to protect Bello from further harm.

“As a Nigerian who has undertaken a patriotic duty, he deserves the protection of the State. We hope you will use your good offices to intervene in this matter and bring it to a speedy conclusion, including a diligent investigation into the alleged payroll fraud and justice for Mr Bello for the retaliation he has suffered over the years,” the statement added.

In September 18, a coalition of media and civil society organisations under the Coalition for Whistleblower Protection and Press Freedom (CWPPF) also petitioned the Inspector General, demanding immediate protection for Bello and a thorough investigation into the alleged fraud.

Mahmood Yakubu steps down as INEC chair

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THE Chairman of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), Mahmood Yakubu, has embarked on a one-month pre-exit leave after completing his second term as head of the nation’s electoral body.

Yakubu, who served for ten years, handed over to National Commissioner May Agbamuche-Mbu, who will serve as Acting INEC Chairman pending the appointment of a substantive chairman by President Bola Tinubu.

The handover ceremony took place on Tuesday, October 7, during a meeting with Resident Electoral Commissioners (RECs) at the commission’s headquarters in Abuja.

Yakubu, who was first appointed by former President Muhammadu Buhari in November 2015 after succeeding Attahiru Jega, who supervised the 2015 general election.

He was reappointed for a second term in 2020 by the administration of former president Muhammadu Buhari.

Under his leadership, INEC oversaw the conduct of two general elections (2019 and 2023), as well as several off-cycle governorship elections across the country.

Although the commission recorded significant technological reforms, including the introduction of the Bimodal Voter Accreditation System (BVAS) and the INEC Result Viewing (IReV) portal, its 2023 election management drew mixed reactions, with many Nigerians and observers questioning the credibility of result transmission.

Beyond that many of the elections he supervised have been criticised by local and international observers for inadequacies.

Meanwhile, Agbamuche-Mbu is expected to oversee the affairs of INEC until a new chairman is appointed.

Natasha returns as senate resumes plenary after 10-week recess

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AS the Senate resumed plenary on Tuesday, October 7, after a ten-week recess, Senator representing Kogi Central, Natasha Akpoti-Uduaghan, marked her return to the chamber after a six-month suspension, with Senate President Godswill Akpabio presiding over the session. 

The ICIR reported that Senator’s earlier attempts to return to the Senate were blocked by the upper chamber, even after her suspension imposed for allegedly violating the Senate’s standing rules expired last month.

In July, the PDP senator took the matter to court and made an unsuccessful attempt to resume her duties.

Although the case is still pending in court, she completed her six-month suspension in September and announced her intention to return to work.

She wrote to the Senate notifying it of her intention to resume duties, but while the lawmakers acknowledged receipt of her letter, they stated that no action would be taken until the conclusion of the court proceedings.

After being sealed for six months, Senator Akpoti-Uduaghan’s office was finally reopened on September 23 by the deputy director, Sergeant-at-Arms, Alabi Adedeji, which coincided with the day lawmakers were expected to reconvene after a two-month recess, enabling her to resume work.

It will be recalled that on July 24, both the Nigerian Senate and the House of Representatives adjourned for their annual legislative recess.

However, ad hoc and standing committees were directed to continue their activities during the break, and the Senate President also urged senators to use the recess to complete pending reports and conduct oversight functions.

The recess was originally scheduled to last two months, with lawmakers expected to reconvene on Tuesday, September 23, but the National Assembly extended the break by two weeks, announcing that plenary sessions would now resume on October 7.

The ICIR reported that Akpoti-Uduaghan’s suspension stripped her of salaries, aides’ pay and other benefits. 

In July, a Federal High Court declared the action unconstitutional, saying it denied Kogi Central’s constituents the representation they deserved, but the Senate insisted she serve the full term.

Outgoing French PM set for ‘last-ditch’ talks to end political crisis

FRANCE outgoing Prime Minister, Sebastien Lecornu, is set to begin two days of urgent talks on Tuesday with members of different political parties, a day after his unexpected resignation, as he tries to resolve the country’s ongoing political crisis.

Lecornu, in a surprising turn after tendering his resignation on Monday morning, later agreed to President Macron’s request to spend two days attempting to rescue his administration.

President Macron instructed Lecornu to “hold final talks by Wednesday evening to establish a plan for the country’s stability and direction,” a presidential official, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said.

Recall that in early September, President Emmanuel Macron appointed 39-year-old Lecornu to form a new government after parliament ousted his predecessor over a widely opposed austerity budget.

Lecornu announced his new cabinet on Sunday evening, but it quickly faced backlash for including many figures from the previous government. By Monday morning, he had resigned

Lecornu submitted his government’s resignation on Monday morning after the cabinet he announced on Sunday evening was rejected by both allies and opponents, making his administration the shortest in modern French history.

Reuters reported that politicians across different parties voiced confusion over the president’s actions, with some suggesting that Lecornu’s new assignment was simply a tactic to buy more time, nearly a month after he was nominated prime minister.

It remains unclear what Lecornu’s exact role or responsibilities will be during these talks.

Lecornu was scheduled to meet early Tuesday with several members of the conservative Les Républicains (LR) and the centrist Renaissance parties, including Senate President Gérard Larcher and National Assembly Speaker Yaël Braun-Pivet.

France’s current political crisis, the most serious since the establishment of the Fifth Republic in the country’s modern political system in 1958, began in June last year.

The ICIR reported that Macron called snap elections in mid-2024 for the lower house of parliament after the far-right made major gains in the European Parliament elections, which produced a deeply divided parliament with no clear majority, an unusual situation in a country whose system is built around a strong presidency supported by a solid parliamentary majority, and where coalition-building is uncommon.

Lecornu became Macron’s third prime minister since those elections, and the president now faces limited options moving forward, analysts say.

The constitution does not prevent Macron from reappointing Lecornu; meanwhile, opposition parties have urged the president to either dissolve parliament or resign. 

Recall that The ICIR reported that the former Prime Minister François Bayrou’s government collapsed in September following a failed confidence vote, raising uncertainty over President Emmanuel Macron’s future and the stability of the eurozone’s second-largest economy.

The 74-year-old political veteran, who had been in office for just nine months, triggered the vote himself in an attempt to pressure lawmakers into supporting his proposal.

Protesters have taken to the streets across France for weeks, blocking roads, setting fire to rubbish bins, and clashing with police in a campaign to “Block Everything” in anger against President Emmanuel Macron and proposed budget cuts.

Many protesters directed their frustration at President Macron, who is already grappling with political upheaval.

Teachers, train drivers, pharmacists, hospital staff and other workers embarked on strike in France on September 18, while teenagers blocked access to their high schools, joining nationwide demonstrations against planned budget cuts.

Workers and other protesters have continued demanding the suspension of the former government’s fiscal policies, increased investment in public services, higher taxes on the wealthy, and the reversal of a widely opposed reform that raised the retirement age.